Bent's Draft Thoughts from Across the Pond - Part IV - Offensive Tackles

We are continuing on in Collegiate Scouting 101, your survey class introducing you to the intricacies of analyzing player talent. This class will be taught by Professor Bent, and will culminate with the 2006 NFL Draft. Performance in the draft will constitute 100% of your final grade…

Whilst the Jets major headache at the moment is probably the quarterback position, they will certainly be looking at how best to “protect their investment” – whoever that may be. Widely considered to be a talented crop, this year's Offensive Tackle pool has several prime candidates for the task.

There are several names here that would represent an immediate upgrade over last year's opening day starter, Jason “I’m old” Fabini. That's why I like the idea of selecting a tackle in the first round. The team will immediately be improved at that position, something that would be less certain if the Jets were to select a quarterback or a running back, because while that would probably be an upgrade over Bollinger and Houston, it would not necessarily be an upgrade over a healthy Pennington and a healthy Martin. Not to mention the fact that the probability of those two being kept healthy will be much greater with an improved line.

Terry Bradway attracted a lot of criticism for neglecting to address this position during last year's draft. It's unfathomable that the Jets will make the same mistake again. Look for the Jets to pick up a tackle in the first or second round. With Fabini looking certain to be released, the Jets will have to decide whether Adrian Jones will be the left tackle, the right tackle or neither (they may even consider moving him to guard).

The Ten Biggest Names (Day One Picks?)

For most of the year, it was considered that there were four tackles worthy of a first round draft selection. Dubbed “the big four” by certain sections of the media, you had D'Brickashaw Ferguson, Marcus McNeil, Eric Winston and Jonathan Scott. The early entry of Winston Justice has added to this group. There are then a group of players who were widely considered to be a notch below this top group but still good value as day one picks, namely Andrew Whitworth, Jeremy Trueblood, Darren Colledge and Ryan O'Callahan. Finally, you have Joe Toledo who some sites have predicted will go higher than expected.

Barring a pre-draft day trade (which I am not ruling out, by the way), the media in New York will be asking “Is D'Brick the pick?” in the run-up to the draft. Ferguson has been touted as the top tackle in the draft all year long (as well as, by some, the best player overall) and his performance at the Senior Bowl only served to consolidate his position. Ferguson possesses tremendous mobility but his main strength is pass protection, where his footwork and technique is considered flawless.

There are some concerns: Can he add weight to his 295lb frame? (Probably). Can he improve his run blocking? (I believe he already has and he is powerful enough to continue to develop in this area). There was also concern that he was beaten on an inside move by Darryl Tapp against Virginia and then by the same move by Mark Anderson with “the world” watching at the Senior Bowl, but these were errors that a player with the technical ability of Ferguson should be able to eliminate in future with a bit of work. I was also impressed by his interview, he has a laid-back, but focused demeanour, somewhat reminiscent of Jonathan Vilma.

Will D'Brickashaw be available at number four anyway, and if he is, do the Jets select him, or trade down to select one of the other top tackle prospects? I felt Ferguson was indeed the most impressive lineman I saw this year, but there are plenty of other options that would be an upgrade over Fabini.

McNeil’s stock seems to have slipped since last year, when he toyed with the idea of coming out early. At 6’9″ and 340 lbs, he has ideal size, but is considered somewhat raw. He has good mobility for his size (which he best displayed with a pass reception on a tipped ball at the senior bowl) and decent footwork. Auburn employs a zonal blocking system, similar to the one the Jets tried to implement last year, and it produced good numbers for Cadillac Williams and Kenny Irons over the last few years. Concerns over the state of his back may be responsible for his apparent slide into the latter part of the first round. McNeil has good character though, which may pique the interest of the new regime.

Winston is a pass blocking specialist, who came off a serious knee injury in 2004. Miami’s offense struggled in the early part of the season, giving up a lot of sacks (although few came from Winston’s side). The former TE opens holes and lanes in the running game, but it is in pass protection where he is most comfortable. One of his best performances of the year came against one of the country’s best pass rushers in Darryl Tapp, although Tapp still had some success when he was not directly matched up with Winston.

Jonathan Scott also impressed me with his pass protection. He seemed to be virtually immovable. Texas had Justin Blalock at the other tackle who excels in the running game (and will move to guard in 2006), so Scott’s main job was to give Vince Young time to work. His Father used to play for the Jets and he doubles as a long snapper (although the Jets already have two of those in Dearth and Dreessen).

Winston Justice sounds like the sort of name they should have given to Robocop (much better than “Murphy”). With Matt Leinart being a southpaw, he played RT last year to protect Leinart’s blind side. Will he immediately be as comfortable on the left (as he will more than likely play for a team that has a “northpaw” at QB), or should he stick to the right side? He’s a mobile 300 lber and excels in pass protection. He even scored a TD (on a fumble recovery) against Washington State. Here is another test for the USC-Indy theory though…did Justice look better than he actually was due to all the weapons on the field?

Colledge is the first of the guys from the second tier. He was the most impressive of the linemen from the high powered offense that played on the “Smurf Turf” at Boise State. However, his stock may be falling after an uninspiring week at the Senior Bowl. He did not give up a sack from his sophomore season onwards, but he was beaten by Elvis Dumervil in the Senior Bowl and struggled with Mathius Kiwanuka at the MPC Computers Bowl. He seems to get overpowered by elite linemen.

O’Callahan is absolutely huge (6’7″, 363 lbs) and also sound in pass protection. He sometimes mowed people over at the NCAA level. There is some talk about him maybe switching to guard at the next level, but he is currently projected as a tackle. He played RT last season and currently looks like could sneak into the second round.

Andrew Whitworth has been described as “king-sized”. I hope that doesn’t mean he is seven inches tall! He displays solid footwork to stay in front of pass rushers and gets downfield in the running game. He should easily be off the board by the end of the first day.

Trueblood is an interesting case. He also stands at 6’9″, but is just 320 lbs. He looks extremely impressive when pulling to make a block and battles hard. At first look, I was wowed by this guy. On closer inspection, there are apparent weaknesses. This was best illustrated in his match up with Tapp earlier on in the season. Tapp often blows by people with speed, but Trueblood was able to stay in front of him in the first half with good footwork, effort and technique. Towards the end of the game, Tapp stepped up the pressure in the second half, eventually using a bull-rush to overpower Trueblood, leading to a key defensive score. From this, we can summarise that while Trueblood is mobile, he maybe lacks strength – at 6’9″ it is difficult to get leverage against smaller, more powerful guys like Tapp – and stamina could be an issue too. He has potential though, if he can overcome these issues.

Toledo slid under the radar for much of the year because he has only recently converted to tackle from the tight end position. He struggled with a few ankle problems last year. From having seen him at the East West Shrine Game, I can report that he is extremely adept at “holding his f**king water”.

The New Guard

There are a few top quality prospects that are projected to be guards in the NFL, but also played tackle in college. I will discuss these in more detail when I look at interior linemen, but they all represent sensible picks for a team looking to improve their depth on the offensive line, due to their versatility.

These guys are as follows (in no particular order):

· Charles Spencer
· Troy Reddick
· Max Jean-Gilles
· Robbie Sims
· Davin Joseph
· Albert Toeaina

Of course, there’s every chance that some of the other guys on this list will eventually move to guard, but for the time being, they are all mainly projected as tackles.

Best of the Rest

  • Rashad Butler – Miami’s line got better over the course of the season, but Butler had his struggles earlier in the year. Not to be confused with Rasual Butler who played basketball in Miami until this season.
  • Na’shan Goddard – Especially good in the running game. Pulls a lot, with impressive mobility. OK in pass protection.
  • Willie Hall – Early entry candidate from Middle Tennessee. 6’6″ and 305 lbs. May go undrafted.
  • Jami Hightower – With a name like Hightower, he has to be an imposing figure. Unfortunately, he was hurt and missed the only Texas A&M game broadcast in the UK this year. However, I can report that the rest of the A&M line was made up of a guy who makes sound effects, a timid woman with a squeaky voice, a gun obsessed weirdo and Steve Guttenburg.
  • Travis Leffew – Destined to be nicknamed “Pepe” – if he is not already. I’d love to be able to tell you that (a) he stinks and (b) he “whiffed” on a few blocks when I saw him play, but sadly, he did OK. Plays both tackle postions and is solid in both the running and passing game.
  • Jabari Levey – “The Hutt” – as he should be called (if he is not already), is not as mobile as his teammate Goddard, but has good footwork, battles well and protects soundly. With Goddard banged up at the end of the season, he was equally impressive at both tackle positions.
  • Jimmy Martin – A durable guy, who made over 40 straight starts for Virginia Tech despite not being a big name recruit out of high school. He is OK, but is occasionally beaten for speed by fast DEs. Hoping to be a late round selection.
  • Derek Morris – Highly rated junior entering the draft early. Mammoth 330-pounder, not to be confused with Derek Morris, the 200 lb Phoenix Coyotes defenseman.
  • Terrence Pennington – Crafty marketing ploy by the Jets to pick this guy in the seventh round and stick him on the active roster. Then everyone with a Pennington replica jersey will have to get another that says “C. Pennington” on the back. Or perhaps not.
  • Tre Stallings – Played right tackle for Ole Miss and they ran behind him a lot. Does a decent job of protecting the QB. Good size and strength.
  • Adam Stenavich – Saw his stock slide a bit this year after a difficult 2005 campaign that saw him banged up for much of the season. No longer considered a likely first day pick, he is strong in the running game and picks up blitzers well.

9 Responses to “Bent's Draft Thoughts from Across the Pond - Part IV - Offensive Tackles”

  1. Ferguson from Long Island wearing green, I'm all for it!
    He would be a great choice, now let's trade Abraham for a 1st round pick and get LenDale White!

  2. I wouldn't be opposed to a White/Maroney or Cutler (next Roethlisberger?) after Ferguson!
    And Maga Millions is 200 mil…

  3. It's a nice rundown, but you fail to mention that while this class started off with a very high grade, just about every major prospect besides Ferguson played badly enough to cause them to slip. At this point, it's conceivable (though not likely) that only one OT will be taken in the first round.
    Ferguson is a nice player. He's the best OT prospect since Robert Gallery. The only problem with that is that Gallery hasn't been particularly good to date. Indeed, for all the talk about what a sure thing tackles are, the last five tackles picked in the top round have been Gallery, who's been mediocre, Mike Williams, who has been a complete bust, and Leonard Davis, who has been only slightly less of a bust. Ferguson is a different kind of player from those Texas OTs- he's quick and athletic, rather than massive.
    The real question is, is a left tackle ever worth investing a top five pick in? I think the jury is very much out on that. So while Ferguson may be the best prospect, he's not necessarily the best allocation of resources.
    For all the talk about how the Jets have too much money invested in the quarterback position, the clear M.O. of the front office is to reduce the amount of money tied up in the offensive line. My guess is that the team would like to model their line after New England, where Matt Light makes good money ($5 mill and change), but where no other starter makes more than about $1.3 million. I would question whether drafting a LT with the #4 pick and giving him a $25 million signing bonus fits into that strategy. My guess is that the Jets are interested in Ferguson, and that he is the fallback pick if Jay Cutler is off the table and the Jets don't have any attractive trade-down offers, but I think they would rather peg someone like Eric Winston at the bottom of the round.

  4. Bent/Seanmac,
    Point taken about the perhaps over-inflated value of any ol with such an early pick. But one thing that intrigues me about Ferguson is that he's a polished pass-blocker: you usually read about blue-chip college lineman needing to work on their passing protection technique, rather than run-blocking, but Ferguson seems to be the exception to that rule. I wonder if that makes him both more valuable in the NFL–where passing is the dominant variable to a successful offense–and different from the top lineman who came out recently, who might have come out collegepower-running programs and didn't have Ferguson's pass-blocking expertise (not Gallery, though, as I recall–he was thought to be the complete package, working out of Iowa's pro-style offense).

  5. The OL was a weakness last year because of Mawae's injury and Fabini's ineptitude. We won't know until next week which OL vets will remain. If, as I suspect, Mawae and Kendall restructure or stay, we'll have four veterans. Thus, while drafting an OT or OG-OT in later rounds is fine with me, the no. 4 pick is too valuable for an OT, especially an undersized, weak run-blocking, alleged pass-blocking specialist with a weakness for the inside move like Ferguson.

  6. I think Fabini was playing hurt, myself, and that he'll go to Dallas and end up being much better than whoever we have playing right tackle for us, but that's a story for another day. I'm not so optimistic that either Mawae or Kendall will be back. The Jets are supposedly shopping Mawae, a player who should still drum up some interest, and Kendall's cap number is such that it's hard to believe he'll stay. At most I think we retain one of the two players.
    But I don't disagree that the team would rather grab Eric Winston at the bottom of the round than D'brickshaw Ferguson at the top of it.

  7. I think each of the top five prospects are better known as pass blockers than run blockers. Any team wanting to improve their running game might look at one of the top guard prospects like Jean-Gilles. A lot depends on the blocking system. I wonder if the Jets are going to persevere with the Heimerdinger zonal blocking system, or revert to a smashmouth style.
    If it's the latter, don't expect to see Ferguson in green.
    In the light of DF's weigh-in (312) IMO the “undersized” concern is less of an issue.
    DF was caught with the inside move because he was trying to get a head start on quicker ends. It's the OT equivalent of over-pursuing. Hopefully, if he's a Jet, this will be corrected. If not, I don't care!

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  9. Pace is 6'7″, 325 lbs, Ogden, 6'9″, 345 lbs, and Willie Roaf is 6'5″, 320 lbs. I know Ferguson suddenly measured bigger, and in time he may equal these guys, but he's just not IMO the “can't miss” prospect that everyone says he is. Plus, missing the inside move is like a boxer who is susceptible to a right hand lead…it should NEVER happen. For a guy who allegedly is fundamentally sound, getting beat on an inside move is a huge red flag. I'm a draft traditionalist, I thing that “skill” position players should get drafted first and with OL you draft size more than technique. The “size” guys in this draft seem to be taking a back seat to the technique guys, and I'm not sure why that is. I'm more impressed by McNeil and Latui, who are just huge men, and you could probably draft both with 2 2d round picks.