Left Coast Investnments, Inc.
6:51am & already 91 outside on what will be another steamy day in the northeast suburbs of San Diego. Glad I will not be working out of the office de casa today, I get the pleasure to head to my company’s Palm Desert office – should not be any hotter than 116 there – oh, but it is dry heat. Investing in the NFL has always been a slightly profitbale hobby of mine if kept in moderation. I’ll be sharing some thoughts with you weekly. Hopefully my picks will be hotter than the weather.
The now traditional Thursday night game 3 days after Labor day is tomorrow. First & foremost let me thank the NFL for this schedule which has completely screwed up my fantasy league draft. Thanks to this game, we now have to do the Draft by Conference Call on a Tues or Weds night instead of potentially meeting somewhere the Friday/Saturday before the season starts and watching games togethr Sunday. Thanks Tags – that is your legacy. But I digress. Indy is installed as 5.5 point favorite over the Saints. O/U is 52.5. $ Line is Indy -260 NO +220.
The Over might be hit by halftime here. Indy was ravaged on D during the off-season & unless the Saints brought in the 1987 version of Swilling, Jackson, Johnson, & Mills (RIP), I have a hard a time believing that they can slow down the best QB in the NFL (and maybe ever when all is said & done), Addai, Marvin, & Reggie. OVER FOR 2 UNITS IS THE PLAY
Also going to throw 1 unit on the Saints with the $ line. Just a gut feel that Indy’s D is going to get a rude wake up call in this one.
Back on Friday with the rest of the slate.
14 Responses to Left Coast Investnments, Inc.
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TOON2388 says:
I planned on keeping track of my +/- “units” all season (including juice)
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wayne says:
I am a little afraid of the Super Bowl Hangover syndrone that has been prevalent the last fews years, but nonetheless I will continue backing my AFC superiority theory.
Play the AFC in every interconferance match up and you will be profitable, especially early in the year before it becomes obvious to the punters.
From a Jets perspective, the thing to watch is the play of Rookie LT Ugoh, who some had on radar for the Jets.
He was considered a developmental Tackle and is being rushed into the starting roll as Peyton’s blind side body guard. You can expect plenty of blitzing, but in the end the Colts will prove their superiority by more than the required six points.
One other thing to watch is the Colts defense, which was far from stellar last year and has been revamped, most say for the worse.
I suppose the LT situation, combined with the likelihood of the Saints exploiting the Colts week run defense and playing ball control, is effecting the over/under line. It will not matter as I doubt you will see more than two punts all game.
Remember that NO played the WEAKEST schedule in football in 2006 and now is taking on the super bowl champs in their flag raising home opener. Tall task.
Colts and over.
This weeks other AFC/NFC plays:
Fins +3 over REDSKINS
CHARGERS – 5.5 over Bears
RAIDERS -1.5 over LionsThe IND-NO and SD-CHI match ups should provide a nice starting point in judging AFC/NFC strength at the top, the other two will measure strength at the absolute bottom. Interesting.
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Chase says:
What book(s) does everyone use?
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Bent says: I never understood why Ugoh was linked with the Jets, as he’s another pass protector who can’t run block very well. Definitely a left tackle type and unless the Jets were going to be giving up on Brick already, it would have made as much sense as drafting another center.
However, I agree he is key to their season and will be watching him with interest.
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Bent, guess they could have moved Brick to guard :o)
Jets announced they signed Elgin, the G/C who was a 7th round pick of the Pats.
Will be picking his brain all week.
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Chase – I have a buddy handle stuff for me – I am have grown leery of on-line sites due to not knowing when they may pull the plug and say “sayonara.”
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Brandon "You're With Me"riweather says:
I use sportsbook.com
The lines that I’m looking playing this week are:
Denver -3 at Buffalo (denver secondary will put up 1-2 INT’s this week and they will run the ball at will on the bills)
Skins -3 vs. Miami (miami offense is pathetic, santana healthy, cambell has looked good)
Eagles -3 at packers (driver just coming off injury, packers rb’s have been BAD in preseason, mcnabb/westbrook still healthy. oh yeah…and favre sucks) -
Thanks Toon. Yeah, I’ve been looking for a local guy (albeit passively), for the same exact reason.
Good luck!
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also,…although I never bet against the jets, the pats at -6 would be awfully tempting considering what we’ve seen this preseason
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Bent says:
I’m the opposite. I only ever bet against the Jets. Might as well get some “compensation” if they lose and don’t mind paying for them to win! Doesn’t affect how badly I want them to win each week.
I don’t have Jets on my FF team for similar reasons.
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if I bet against the jets, there’s no way to be truly happy. either I lose or I lose. that said, I don’t bet on the jets except in extreme instances of confidence – which is to say, I dont’ really bet on the jets.
but to each his own. Bent, patriots by 6 seems right up your alley.
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Bent says:
I prefer it when the Jets are favoured (sic) because say they are a six point favourite (sic) and they win by three, then it really is a win-win!
If the Pats are a six point favourite (sic) then I would only ever bet on the Jets to lose straight up, otherwise there’s a potential lose-lose. However, it’s week one and all bets are (literally) off. so I’m not touching this one with a ten foot pole.
I have a weird attitude towards money anyway. Just ignore me.
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Brandon, be careful with that Skins pick. MIA defense still formidable, will eat Campbell for lunch.
Green is better than their 2006 QB’s, for as long as he remains healthy.
Not high on MIA, but WAS sucks too.
And of course there is my AFC Superiority theory.
I will take MIA on my parlay tickets and cross my fingers. Under is a better wager.
Why dont you do a little pretend bank roll, like give your self $1,000 in pretend money and place pretend bets over the year that way we can see if we’re loosing money. Or is TJB to, um, chicken?