Comments on: Draft Grades Part Deux

By: ian

ian — Thu, 01 May 2008 04:45:12 +0000

Matthewm–good points and thoughtful analysis. Anecdotally and without any research at all, though, I feel like most superbowl winners have a core group of elite players drafted high and a secondary group of low picks/mid-round picks and bargain free agent pick-ups.

By: lukez

lukez — Wed, 30 Apr 2008 23:10:35 +0000

them

By: lukez

lukez — Wed, 30 Apr 2008 23:10:15 +0000

draft “experts” are full of crap..how many of tem have played 1 down in the nfl????? mel kiper should be sewing somewhere..throw enough shi.. against the wall, some sticks..go jets

By: Mike G

Mike G — Wed, 30 Apr 2008 22:31:10 +0000

*cant start grading a draft class..

By: Mike G

Mike G — Wed, 30 Apr 2008 22:30:45 +0000

grading drafts makes no sense. You can start grading a draft class until two seasons after they were actually drafted.

By: Matthewm

Matthewm — Wed, 30 Apr 2008 22:23:58 +0000

Brian, Another variation on these questions is whether it is best to have, say, four players from rounds 2 and 3, or two players from the first round. Wish I had the answer, and have never seen much research. I once studied Hall of Fame players by round of draft, and obviously most are from rounds 1 and 2. But then getting to Canton does not necessarily get your team the Super Bowl. Something tells me you do win the Bowl with a team of David Harrises more than a few HoFers. Statisticallly, then, the question is where on the famous draft-round curve do you want the most choices? Which is also now a question of cap and money. A gut instinct tells me that from middle first round to third round is where you want the most picks, but I have never seen an article that discusses some of these ideas. Maybe you have and can post the link? Be interesting to see something. I bet also some thinking is going into the age coefficient of lower round draft picks—meaning a fifth rounder at age 21, coming out as a junior, might equate in some cases to a second rounder who is age 23, and has redshirted a year. But they still have to block and tackle…..Matthew

By: Bassett

Bassett — Wed, 30 Apr 2008 18:36:54 +0000

matthewm … i was thinking about that last night … the best teams in the league keep about 2 players long-term from a draft class in any given year … the Jets place with the Patriots and other teams in this regard … better to hit on 2-3 players per year than hit on 5 one year and none for the next four years …

By: matthewm

matthewm — Wed, 30 Apr 2008 18:23:54 +0000

Some Web site has a list of all the Jets players selected in every draft, back to when they had 12 and 15 rounds and players worked in sports stores in the off season. Try to find it. The sad fact is that most draft choices don’t make it. Tangini accept this reality, and thus try to for two starters from each draft. It’s not a terrible approach. But all drafts of every team would be graded as C-, if judged 3-4 years after the fact. At least Tangini buy into the proven theory that line players last longer in the league than running backs and QBs. Hence use your early picks up front.

By: Liam

Liam — Wed, 30 Apr 2008 17:36:11 +0000

thanks stevie k. i should have been clearer in my post, im curious what the specifics are (i.e. how much playing time = what picks).

By: Reprocity

Reprocity — Wed, 30 Apr 2008 17:34:58 +0000

Is this ow it works?: The JETS drafted two future HOF and added solid contributors all throughout the draft they made smart value picks and stock piled up some picks for next years draft. This is one of the better drafts in my memory… Grade: C