One of the nice things about the TREFF data is it can be used to make predictions about upcoming games.  While it is unclear how well we will predict (and, it may be, that our algorithm need tweaking), we’ll take a shot anyway.  Here are some predictions for Week Two.  Remember, these are data driven picks.  There is no subjective evaluation involved.

One other thing:  This is the first week of the season.  There is very little data available.  Prediction is liable to be both very good and very bad at this time.  Also, teams become more reliable over time.  Changes are made in the offseason that don’t mature until the fifth or sixth game.  Without multi-game averages, prediction is a volatile game.

By the way, use these at your own risk.  They are for entertainment purposes only.

Best bets ATS: Tennessee (+1), Buffalo (+5), NO (-1), Atlanta (+7), Pittsburgh (-6.5)

Best bets O/U: Ten-Cin (Under), NYG-StL (Under), SF-Sea (Under), SD-Den (Over).

For those of you who are interested in the Jets-Pats game (everyone?), TREFF predicts 23-16 Jets.

Also, anyone who wants an explanation of why a team ight get ranked higher than another or why a pick makes sense, please pass your comments along below.

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