Category Archives: BGA
Previously on BGA…
When I last did a salary cap update, I talked about the amount of flexibility the Jets had to create space to make one or two low or mid-level moves to upgrade the team without having to release many (if any) key contributors. Since then, not much has changed.
The Jets did restructure D’Brickashaw Ferguson’s contract, deferring the maximum amount of money possible without changing the amounts due to him into future years. Also, they retained Wayne Hunter, guaranteeing him $2.5m, although they still have the ability to restructure his deal so that his cap hit for the year is reduced by $1m. The decision to tender Aaron Maybin at the original round level is also relevant, because that will use up about $1m of additional cap space, assuming he plays out the year on the one-year tender.
One other thing that might change is the salary cap threshold itself. All our previous projections were on the basis of $120,500,000 – based on last year’s cap of $120,375,000 but rounded up to make things easier to represent with round numbers. Previous reports were that the cap was only expected to rise slightly, if at all, but recent reports suggest the union and NFL are working together to reclassify how they’ve accounted for non-salary benefits in order to increase the allocation to be spread between teams for salary this year. Obviously the union wants a higher cap, but it’s in the league’s interest too, because it shows they gave the players a good deal. I wouldn’t expect a major rise and from the sounds of it, there may still not be a rise, but either way, I expect we’ll find out tomorrow. I’m going to stick with $120,500,000 but even an incremental rise from there will be valuable for the Jets and their cap flexibility.
One other thing I’d like to note is that multiple sources are reporting that teams have three $1.5m exemptions to enable them to retain veteran players. This is incorrect and it is three $500,000 exemptions that they have, and then that money will be added back to their cap commitments in 2014-2017. This is the oft-referenced option to “borrow” $1.5m from future cap years (with most teams already having used three $1m exemptions to “borrow” $3m last year), so be wary of anyone who (a) double-counts that and (b) uses $4.5m instead of $1.5m.
So, for a detailed outlook on the Jets’ cap situation, go back and look at that link and bear the above information in mind. Today, we’re focusing entirely on one man…and another, slightly younger man. (more…)
I spent most of last offseason looking back at certain aspects of the Jets’ season by analyzing data compiled from all nineteen games, rather than watching film. For the next few weeks, I’m going to be revisiting some of the more interesting and relevant topics until free agency opens on March 13th. I will be revisiting as many different topics as possible, but welcome your suggestions or requests in the comments.
Last February, I took a deeper look into the impact of missed tackles and their impact on the Jets’ 2010 season. Clearly the defense struggled more in 2011 so, this week, I’ll be considering how much of a part missed tackles played and who the main culprits were. (more…)
I spent most of last offseason looking back at certain aspects of the Jets’ season by analyzing data compiled from all nineteen games, rather than watching film. For the next few weeks, I’m going to be revisiting some of the more interesting and relevant topics until free agency opens on March 13th. I will be revisiting as many different topics as possible, but welcome your suggestions or requests in the comments.
Back in May, I came up with a new statistical model for evaluating punter performance. Using a stat called ANPP (Adjusted Net Punt Percentage), I was able to factor field position into the equation to give a more accurate representation of how well a punter performed.
Therefore, I’m now going to use this metric to determine whether TJ Conley kicked well enough to retain his job and how much of a downgrade from Steve Weatherford he was. (more…)
I spent most of last offseason looking back at certain aspects of the Jets’ season by analyzing data compiled from all nineteen games, rather than watching film. For the next few weeks, I’m going to be revisiting some of the more interesting and relevant topics until free agency opens on March 13th. I will be revisiting as many different topics as possible, but welcome your suggestions or requests in the comments.
Back in July, I wrote about Dustin Keller’s 2010 production when he lined up as a wide receiver. This revealed some interesting trends and is of particular interest now, because people are speculating how the Jets will use Keller next season now that Tony Sparano is the offensive coordinator.
Let’s see if the trends identified in 2010 were repeated in 2011 and whether there was a move towards or away from using him in that role, before looking at his effectiveness to evaluate whether its something they should persevere with. (more…)
Over the course of the offseason, I’ll be posting a series of articles analyzing statistics and data rather than game film. I’ll also be revisiting last year’s offseason articles to see whether the conclusions drawn were indicative of what was actually going to happen during the season and using that information to try and determine what 2011’s data tells us about what might happen in 2012. However, before the new league year gets underway, I’m going to address some issues on the salary cap, draft picks, contracts and free agency side of things. Today I’m going to try and set out a realistic projection for what cap room the Jets are likely to have available once the new league year gets underway.
After the jump, I’ll set out the Jets current cap position as far as we are aware, then look at what money they need to spend this offseason, where they can make savings and where this will potentially leave them as the free agent market opens for business.
As ever, if you want to jump in with questions, corrections or speculation, feel free to do so. I am also open to ideas for things you’d like me to cover over the course of the offseason. (more…)
Over the course of the offseason, I’ll be posting a series of articles analyzing statistics and data rather than game film. I’ll also be revisiting last year’s offseason articles to see whether the conclusions drawn were indicative of what was actually going to happen during the season and using that information to try and determine what 2011’s data tells us about what might happen in 2012. However, before the new league year gets underway, I’m going to address some issues on the salary cap, draft picks, contracts and free agency side of things. In a few days, I’ll try and set out a realistic projection for what cap room the Jets are likely to have available once the new league year gets underway, but today I’m looking at the draft choices the Jets will have in the upcoming draft.
After the jump, I’ll list out all the picks initially held by the Jets, together with details of outstanding trades and potential compensatory picks.
As ever, if you want to jump in with questions, corrections or speculation, feel free to do so. I am also open to ideas for things you’d like me to cover over the course of the offseason. (more…)
It’s time to take a final look back at Saturday’s loss to Miami in BGA Extra – now with limited access to coaches film! After the jump, I respond to your questions from the comments in the original BGA post, which you can access here if you missed it.
Sorry for the delay. It’s been one of those weeks… (more…)
This analysis is based on watching and re-watching TV footage. As such, it is not always possible to accurately determine everything that was going on. However, every effort has been made to ensure that the information below is as complete and correct as possible.
Coming up after the jump, an analysis of yesterday’s season-ending loss to the Dolphins, including details of Santonio Holmes’ disappointing display within a disappointing display, Kyle Wilson’s rough afternoon and my thoughts on the Bart Scott rumors. Remember, if you want me to look into anything in particular or go into more detail, leave a comment and I’ll include it in BGA Extra, which will follow in a few days. (more…)
It’s time to take a final look back at Saturday’s loss to the Giants in BGA Extra – now with limited access to coaches film! After the jump, I respond to your questions from the comments in the original BGA post, which you can access here if you missed it. (more…)
This analysis is based on watching and re-watching TV footage. As such, it is not always possible to accurately determine everything that was going on. However, every effort has been made to ensure that the information below is as complete and correct as possible.
Coming up after the jump, an analysis of yesterday’s loss to the Giants, including details of Darrelle Revis’ “decent” but wasted performance, the evolution of Sione Pouha and Dustin Keller’s eventful day. Remember, if you want me to look into anything in particular or go into more detail, leave a comment and I’ll include it in BGA Extra, which will follow in a few days.
Oh, and Merry Christmas! (more…)
It’s time to take a final look back at Sunday’s loss to the Eagles in BGA Extra – now with limited access to coaches film! After the jump, I respond to your questions from the comments in the original BGA post, which you can access here if you missed it. (more…)
This analysis is based on watching and re-watching TV footage. As such, it is not always possible to accurately determine everything that was going on. However, every effort has been made to ensure that the information below is as complete and correct as possible.
Coming up after the jump, an analysis of yesterday’s loss to the Eagles, including a focus on the struggles of the offensive line, against the run and in the secondary. Oh, and maybe a little bit of ranting, because I was feeling left out. Remember, if you want me to look into anything in particular or go into more detail, leave a comment and I’ll include it in BGA Extra, which will follow in a few days. (more…)
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